Latest forecast ensembles from global models position 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Ankara on August 6, matching its 52% market-implied odds, with 32°C close behind at 39%. Central Anatolia’s typical August pattern under subtropical high pressure favors daytime highs near 32–33°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and surface heating on the Anatolian plateau. Minor model spread around these thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or slight moisture advection, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 31°C. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at the Ankara station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 4%
NEW
$10,994 Vol.
NEW
$10,994 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
40%
33°C
53%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 4%
NEW
$10,994 Vol.
NEW
$10,994 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$714 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,450 Vol.
40%
33°C
$3,002 Vol.
53%
34°C
$1,089 Vol.
5%
35°C
$309 Vol.
1%
36°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast ensembles from global models position 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Ankara on August 6, matching its 52% market-implied odds, with 32°C close behind at 39%. Central Anatolia’s typical August pattern under subtropical high pressure favors daytime highs near 32–33°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and surface heating on the Anatolian plateau. Minor model spread around these thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or slight moisture advection, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 31°C. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at the Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,994End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast ensembles from global models position 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Ankara on August 6, matching its 52% market-implied odds, with 32°C close behind at 39%. Central Anatolia’s typical August pattern under subtropical high pressure favors daytime highs near 32–33°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and surface heating on the Anatolian plateau. Minor model spread around these thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or slight moisture advection, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 31°C. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at the Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,994End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from global models position 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Ankara on August 6, matching its 52% market-implied odds, with 32°C close behind at 39%. Central Anatolia’s typical August pattern under subtropical high pressure favors daytime highs near 32–33°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and surface heating on the Anatolian plateau. Minor model spread around these thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or slight moisture advection, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 31°C. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at the Ankara station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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