Stable high-pressure dominance and clear skies across central Anatolia are positioning ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF for a daytime maximum of 33–34 °C in Ankara on August 7. Light northeasterly flow and minimal moisture advection support strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer continental climate, where August averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread that reduces odds for 35 °C or higher while keeping 32 °C plausible only if a slightly stronger breeze develops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C, reflecting the current consensus on boundary-layer heating and lack of convective inhibition. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 7?
34°C 45%
33°C 28%
35°C 13%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
28%
34°C
45%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 45%
33°C 28%
35°C 13%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$42 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$32 Vol.
28%
34°C
$10 Vol.
45%
35°C
$6 Vol.
13%
36°C
$11 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C
$0 Vol.
2%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure dominance and clear skies across central Anatolia are positioning ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF for a daytime maximum of 33–34 °C in Ankara on August 7. Light northeasterly flow and minimal moisture advection support strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer continental climate, where August averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread that reduces odds for 35 °C or higher while keeping 32 °C plausible only if a slightly stronger breeze develops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C, reflecting the current consensus on boundary-layer heating and lack of convective inhibition. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure dominance and clear skies across central Anatolia are positioning ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF for a daytime maximum of 33–34 °C in Ankara on August 7. Light northeasterly flow and minimal moisture advection support strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer continental climate, where August averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread that reduces odds for 35 °C or higher while keeping 32 °C plausible only if a slightly stronger breeze develops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C, reflecting the current consensus on boundary-layer heating and lack of convective inhibition. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure dominance and clear skies across central Anatolia are positioning ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF for a daytime maximum of 33–34 °C in Ankara on August 7. Light northeasterly flow and minimal moisture advection support strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer continental climate, where August averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread that reduces odds for 35 °C or higher while keeping 32 °C plausible only if a slightly stronger breeze develops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C, reflecting the current consensus on boundary-layer heating and lack of convective inhibition. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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