**Forecast models and current observations position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on August 5, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including BBC Weather, the UK Met Office, and local monitoring platforms, indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies with light northerly winds and negligible rain risk. Hourly data show temperatures rising steadily from morning lows near 16°C, reaching the low 30s by afternoon before cooling after sunset. Ankara’s continental climate in peak summer typically delivers average August highs of 32°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Recent regional patterns show stable high-pressure influence without the extreme heat affecting southeastern Turkey earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (70%) and modest probabilities for 33°C (20%) or 31°C (12%) reflect trader assessment of these consensus forecasts, resolution criteria tied to official meteorological measurements, and limited upside risk from model divergence or unexpected cloud development. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 70%
33°C 20%
31°C 14%
34°C <1%
$28,485 Vol.
$28,485 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
14%
32°C
70%
33°C
20%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 20%
31°C 14%
34°C <1%
$28,485 Vol.
$28,485 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$3,868 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,597 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,273 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,678 Vol.
14%
32°C
$5,480 Vol.
70%
33°C
$4,237 Vol.
20%
34°C
$2,975 Vol.
1%
35°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on August 5, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including BBC Weather, the UK Met Office, and local monitoring platforms, indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies with light northerly winds and negligible rain risk. Hourly data show temperatures rising steadily from morning lows near 16°C, reaching the low 30s by afternoon before cooling after sunset.
Ankara’s continental climate in peak summer typically delivers average August highs of 32°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Recent regional patterns show stable high-pressure influence without the extreme heat affecting southeastern Turkey earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (70%) and modest probabilities for 33°C (20%) or 31°C (12%) reflect trader assessment of these consensus forecasts, resolution criteria tied to official meteorological measurements, and limited upside risk from model divergence or unexpected cloud development. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$28,485End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on August 5, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including BBC Weather, the UK Met Office, and local monitoring platforms, indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies with light northerly winds and negligible rain risk. Hourly data show temperatures rising steadily from morning lows near 16°C, reaching the low 30s by afternoon before cooling after sunset.
Ankara’s continental climate in peak summer typically delivers average August highs of 32°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Recent regional patterns show stable high-pressure influence without the extreme heat affecting southeastern Turkey earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (70%) and modest probabilities for 33°C (20%) or 31°C (12%) reflect trader assessment of these consensus forecasts, resolution criteria tied to official meteorological measurements, and limited upside risk from model divergence or unexpected cloud development. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,485End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on August 5, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including BBC Weather, the UK Met Office, and local monitoring platforms, indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies with light northerly winds and negligible rain risk. Hourly data show temperatures rising steadily from morning lows near 16°C, reaching the low 30s by afternoon before cooling after sunset. Ankara’s continental climate in peak summer typically delivers average August highs of 32°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Recent regional patterns show stable high-pressure influence without the extreme heat affecting southeastern Turkey earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (70%) and modest probabilities for 33°C (20%) or 31°C (12%) reflect trader assessment of these consensus forecasts, resolution criteria tied to official meteorological measurements, and limited upside risk from model divergence or unexpected cloud development. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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