National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a strong offshore upper-level ridge and coastal thermal trough sustaining sunny, dry conditions over Seattle on August 6, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s amid the region’s ongoing warmer-than-normal summer pattern. Light northerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and possible patchy smoke from regional fires are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 77 °F August climatological average. Recent forecast discussions highlight a heat advisory through the period, with limited model spread keeping probabilities concentrated on 86–91 °F bins. Updated NWS and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 6?
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$75 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$23 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$14 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$28 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$40 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$47 Vol.
18%
92-93°F
$181 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$20 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$15 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a strong offshore upper-level ridge and coastal thermal trough sustaining sunny, dry conditions over Seattle on August 6, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s amid the region’s ongoing warmer-than-normal summer pattern. Light northerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and possible patchy smoke from regional fires are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 77 °F August climatological average. Recent forecast discussions highlight a heat advisory through the period, with limited model spread keeping probabilities concentrated on 86–91 °F bins. Updated NWS and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$452End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a strong offshore upper-level ridge and coastal thermal trough sustaining sunny, dry conditions over Seattle on August 6, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s amid the region’s ongoing warmer-than-normal summer pattern. Light northerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and possible patchy smoke from regional fires are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 77 °F August climatological average. Recent forecast discussions highlight a heat advisory through the period, with limited model spread keeping probabilities concentrated on 86–91 °F bins. Updated NWS and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$452End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a strong offshore upper-level ridge and coastal thermal trough sustaining sunny, dry conditions over Seattle on August 6, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s amid the region’s ongoing warmer-than-normal summer pattern. Light northerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and possible patchy smoke from regional fires are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 77 °F August climatological average. Recent forecast discussions highlight a heat advisory through the period, with limited model spread keeping probabilities concentrated on 86–91 °F bins. Updated NWS and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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