Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs point to daily maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s for Karachi on August 8, consistent with above-normal seasonal conditions during the monsoon period and below-normal rainfall expected across Sindh. Close market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect uncertainty in the precise peak driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and potential localized showers that can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32–33°C, combined with current steering patterns favoring modest westerly flow, keep outcomes tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest short-range updates for any intensification of convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
34°C 46%
33°C 40%
35°C 13%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
40%
34°C
46%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 40%
35°C 13%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$9 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$9 Vol.
4%
32°C
$9 Vol.
5%
33°C
$80 Vol.
40%
34°C
$62 Vol.
46%
35°C
$27 Vol.
13%
36°C
$10 Vol.
3%
37°C
$5 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$9 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs point to daily maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s for Karachi on August 8, consistent with above-normal seasonal conditions during the monsoon period and below-normal rainfall expected across Sindh. Close market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect uncertainty in the precise peak driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and potential localized showers that can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32–33°C, combined with current steering patterns favoring modest westerly flow, keep outcomes tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest short-range updates for any intensification of convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$234End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs point to daily maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s for Karachi on August 8, consistent with above-normal seasonal conditions during the monsoon period and below-normal rainfall expected across Sindh. Close market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect uncertainty in the precise peak driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and potential localized showers that can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32–33°C, combined with current steering patterns favoring modest westerly flow, keep outcomes tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest short-range updates for any intensification of convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$234End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs point to daily maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s for Karachi on August 8, consistent with above-normal seasonal conditions during the monsoon period and below-normal rainfall expected across Sindh. Close market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect uncertainty in the precise peak driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and potential localized showers that can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32–33°C, combined with current steering patterns favoring modest westerly flow, keep outcomes tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest short-range updates for any intensification of convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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