Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, represent the chief catalyst keeping trader focus on the 34–36 °C range for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and international guidance project afternoon peaks near 35 °C under light easterly flow, elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal cooling, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with observed 34–39 °C readings earlier in the week. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of peak solar heating versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin high cloud, factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical early-August analogs and current ensemble spread support the narrow market clustering while underscoring remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 10.7%
NEW
$18,234 Vol.
NEW
$18,234 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
28%
35°C
39%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
11%
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 10.7%
NEW
$18,234 Vol.
NEW
$18,234 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$664 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,395 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,155 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,227 Vol.
5%
34°C
$3,375 Vol.
28%
35°C
$2,130 Vol.
39%
36°C
$1,305 Vol.
22%
37°C or higher
$1,433 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, represent the chief catalyst keeping trader focus on the 34–36 °C range for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and international guidance project afternoon peaks near 35 °C under light easterly flow, elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal cooling, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with observed 34–39 °C readings earlier in the week. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of peak solar heating versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin high cloud, factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical early-August analogs and current ensemble spread support the narrow market clustering while underscoring remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,234End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, represent the chief catalyst keeping trader focus on the 34–36 °C range for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and international guidance project afternoon peaks near 35 °C under light easterly flow, elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal cooling, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with observed 34–39 °C readings earlier in the week. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of peak solar heating versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin high cloud, factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical early-August analogs and current ensemble spread support the narrow market clustering while underscoring remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,234End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, represent the chief catalyst keeping trader focus on the 34–36 °C range for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and international guidance project afternoon peaks near 35 °C under light easterly flow, elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal cooling, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with observed 34–39 °C readings earlier in the week. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of peak solar heating versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin high cloud, factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical early-August analogs and current ensemble spread support the narrow market clustering while underscoring remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions