Recent forecasts for Beijing point to predominantly cloudy conditions on August 9, limiting peak solar insolation and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Model consensus shows modest variability in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the high by 1–2 °C depending on whether scattered showers develop or clearer breaks allow additional heating. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal monsoon flow continue to support warm, humid air masses, yet the post-Li-qiu cooling trend and recent observations of declining highs (from 37 °C earlier in the week) keep the distribution tightly clustered around 31–33 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
32°C 31%
31°C 27%
33°C 22%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
31%
33°C
22%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
7%
32°C 31%
31°C 27%
33°C 22%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$29 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
3%
29°C
$73 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C
$47 Vol.
27%
32°C
$8 Vol.
31%
33°C
$27 Vol.
22%
34°C
$47 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$132 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing point to predominantly cloudy conditions on August 9, limiting peak solar insolation and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Model consensus shows modest variability in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the high by 1–2 °C depending on whether scattered showers develop or clearer breaks allow additional heating. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal monsoon flow continue to support warm, humid air masses, yet the post-Li-qiu cooling trend and recent observations of declining highs (from 37 °C earlier in the week) keep the distribution tightly clustered around 31–33 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$508End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing point to predominantly cloudy conditions on August 9, limiting peak solar insolation and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Model consensus shows modest variability in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the high by 1–2 °C depending on whether scattered showers develop or clearer breaks allow additional heating. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal monsoon flow continue to support warm, humid air masses, yet the post-Li-qiu cooling trend and recent observations of declining highs (from 37 °C earlier in the week) keep the distribution tightly clustered around 31–33 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$508End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing point to predominantly cloudy conditions on August 9, limiting peak solar insolation and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Model consensus shows modest variability in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the high by 1–2 °C depending on whether scattered showers develop or clearer breaks allow additional heating. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal monsoon flow continue to support warm, humid air masses, yet the post-Li-qiu cooling trend and recent observations of declining highs (from 37 °C earlier in the week) keep the distribution tightly clustered around 31–33 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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