Current numerical weather models for subtropical Guangzhou project peak temperatures of 35–38°C on August 11 amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, with 37°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover support daytime heating near or above seasonal baselines of 33–34°C, while steering patterns and any localized convection could moderate the maximum. Recent forecast runs show modest upward revisions in several ensembles, tightening implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range and reflecting the narrow historical spread for early-August peaks in the Pearl River Delta. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies expected within 24 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
38°C 36%
37°C 36%
36°C 17%
39°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
36%
38°C
21%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 36%
36°C 17%
39°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$44 Vol.
1%
34°C
$33 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
17%
37°C
$0 Vol.
36%
38°C
$6 Vol.
21%
39°C
$5 Vol.
14%
40°C
$22 Vol.
5%
41°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for subtropical Guangzhou project peak temperatures of 35–38°C on August 11 amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, with 37°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover support daytime heating near or above seasonal baselines of 33–34°C, while steering patterns and any localized convection could moderate the maximum. Recent forecast runs show modest upward revisions in several ensembles, tightening implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range and reflecting the narrow historical spread for early-August peaks in the Pearl River Delta. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies expected within 24 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for subtropical Guangzhou project peak temperatures of 35–38°C on August 11 amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, with 37°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover support daytime heating near or above seasonal baselines of 33–34°C, while steering patterns and any localized convection could moderate the maximum. Recent forecast runs show modest upward revisions in several ensembles, tightening implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range and reflecting the narrow historical spread for early-August peaks in the Pearl River Delta. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies expected within 24 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models for subtropical Guangzhou project peak temperatures of 35–38°C on August 11 amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, with 37°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover support daytime heating near or above seasonal baselines of 33–34°C, while steering patterns and any localized convection could moderate the maximum. Recent forecast runs show modest upward revisions in several ensembles, tightening implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range and reflecting the narrow historical spread for early-August peaks in the Pearl River Delta. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies expected within 24 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions