Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 34–35°C for August 8, with a daily range of 28–35°C under partly cloudy conditions and isolated showers. This aligns with seasonal expectations of normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid an emerging El Niño and long-term warming trends. Subtle differences among 33–36°C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed from the South China Sea, and the exact timing of any convection, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of August amplifies perceived heat but does not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for market resolution. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing in the coming days will refine these probabilities before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 32%
35°C 30%
37°C 20%
36°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
32%
35°C
30%
36°C
16%
37°C
20%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 32%
35°C 30%
37°C 20%
36°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$400 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$90 Vol.
5%
33°C
$446 Vol.
8%
34°C
$446 Vol.
32%
35°C
$730 Vol.
30%
36°C
$516 Vol.
16%
37°C
$600 Vol.
20%
38°C
$55 Vol.
2%
39°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$391 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 34–35°C for August 8, with a daily range of 28–35°C under partly cloudy conditions and isolated showers. This aligns with seasonal expectations of normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid an emerging El Niño and long-term warming trends. Subtle differences among 33–36°C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed from the South China Sea, and the exact timing of any convection, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of August amplifies perceived heat but does not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for market resolution. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing in the coming days will refine these probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,459End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 34–35°C for August 8, with a daily range of 28–35°C under partly cloudy conditions and isolated showers. This aligns with seasonal expectations of normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid an emerging El Niño and long-term warming trends. Subtle differences among 33–36°C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed from the South China Sea, and the exact timing of any convection, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of August amplifies perceived heat but does not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for market resolution. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing in the coming days will refine these probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,459End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 34–35°C for August 8, with a daily range of 28–35°C under partly cloudy conditions and isolated showers. This aligns with seasonal expectations of normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid an emerging El Niño and long-term warming trends. Subtle differences among 33–36°C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed from the South China Sea, and the exact timing of any convection, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of August amplifies perceived heat but does not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for market resolution. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing in the coming days will refine these probabilities before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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