Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate sustained subtropical high pressure favoring peak temperatures near 37°C on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that threshold. Official and extended outlooks from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs of 34–38°C through mid-August amid typical seasonal humidity exceeding 80%, with urban heat effects amplifying readings at official stations. Scattered thunderstorm risks around August 10–11 could introduce modest cooling and cap extremes below 38°C, consistent with the clustered probabilities on 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August baselines average 33–35°C highs, but current model consensus and recent observed peaks near 37°C support the market's emphasis on upper-30s readings absent stronger convective activity or frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
7%
40°C or higher
3%
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$454 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$105 Vol.
1%
34°C
$48 Vol.
1%
35°C
$38 Vol.
5%
36°C
$51 Vol.
24%
37°C
$119 Vol.
45%
38°C
$30 Vol.
24%
39°C
$47 Vol.
7%
40°C or higher
$170 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate sustained subtropical high pressure favoring peak temperatures near 37°C on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that threshold. Official and extended outlooks from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs of 34–38°C through mid-August amid typical seasonal humidity exceeding 80%, with urban heat effects amplifying readings at official stations. Scattered thunderstorm risks around August 10–11 could introduce modest cooling and cap extremes below 38°C, consistent with the clustered probabilities on 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August baselines average 33–35°C highs, but current model consensus and recent observed peaks near 37°C support the market's emphasis on upper-30s readings absent stronger convective activity or frontal passages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,692End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate sustained subtropical high pressure favoring peak temperatures near 37°C on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that threshold. Official and extended outlooks from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs of 34–38°C through mid-August amid typical seasonal humidity exceeding 80%, with urban heat effects amplifying readings at official stations. Scattered thunderstorm risks around August 10–11 could introduce modest cooling and cap extremes below 38°C, consistent with the clustered probabilities on 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August baselines average 33–35°C highs, but current model consensus and recent observed peaks near 37°C support the market's emphasis on upper-30s readings absent stronger convective activity or frontal passages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,692End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate sustained subtropical high pressure favoring peak temperatures near 37°C on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that threshold. Official and extended outlooks from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs of 34–38°C through mid-August amid typical seasonal humidity exceeding 80%, with urban heat effects amplifying readings at official stations. Scattered thunderstorm risks around August 10–11 could introduce modest cooling and cap extremes below 38°C, consistent with the clustered probabilities on 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August baselines average 33–35°C highs, but current model consensus and recent observed peaks near 37°C support the market's emphasis on upper-30s readings absent stronger convective activity or frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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