Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
33°C 31%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
16%
33°C
31%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$175 Vol.
4%
30°C
$112 Vol.
6%
31°C
$82 Vol.
13%
32°C
$114 Vol.
16%
33°C
$515 Vol.
31%
34°C
$117 Vol.
18%
35°C
$81 Vol.
10%
36°C or higher
$113 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,099End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,099End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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