Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 10 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, aligning with the market’s leading 51% implied probability for 33°C. Typical August climatology features monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity from the Arabian Sea that moderates daytime peaks, with sea breezes providing additional cooling; historical averages hover near 31–32°C. Short-term model runs show partly cloudy conditions with limited rain expected, keeping highs from exceeding 34°C or dropping below 31°C. Updated guidance through August 8–9 will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and moisture levels become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 10?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 10?
33°C 51%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C
23%
33°C
51%
34°C
20%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$75 Vol.
1%
30°C
$47 Vol.
5%
31°C
$13 Vol.
6%
32°C
$72 Vol.
23%
33°C
$86 Vol.
51%
34°C
$59 Vol.
20%
35°C
$1 Vol.
5%
36°C
$8 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 10 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, aligning with the market’s leading 51% implied probability for 33°C. Typical August climatology features monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity from the Arabian Sea that moderates daytime peaks, with sea breezes providing additional cooling; historical averages hover near 31–32°C. Short-term model runs show partly cloudy conditions with limited rain expected, keeping highs from exceeding 34°C or dropping below 31°C. Updated guidance through August 8–9 will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and moisture levels become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 10 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, aligning with the market’s leading 51% implied probability for 33°C. Typical August climatology features monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity from the Arabian Sea that moderates daytime peaks, with sea breezes providing additional cooling; historical averages hover near 31–32°C. Short-term model runs show partly cloudy conditions with limited rain expected, keeping highs from exceeding 34°C or dropping below 31°C. Updated guidance through August 8–9 will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and moisture levels become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 10 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, aligning with the market’s leading 51% implied probability for 33°C. Typical August climatology features monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity from the Arabian Sea that moderates daytime peaks, with sea breezes providing additional cooling; historical averages hover near 31–32°C. Short-term model runs show partly cloudy conditions with limited rain expected, keeping highs from exceeding 34°C or dropping below 31°C. Updated guidance through August 8–9 will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and moisture levels become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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