Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 10 near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. These conditions align with seasonal baselines where urban heat island effects and average lows hover around 24–25°C, while model consensus shows minor spread from variable wind and cloud cover that could nudge the reading between 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 42% for 24°C and 35% for 25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the reliability of short-range guidance two days out, with lower-probability tails accounting for potential clearer skies or enhanced precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
24°C 43%
25°C 36%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
43%
25°C
36%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 43%
25°C 36%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$45 Vol.
1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
2%
22°C
$13 Vol.
3%
23°C
$13 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1,129 Vol.
43%
25°C
$204 Vol.
36%
26°C
$38 Vol.
9%
27°C
$42 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 10 near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. These conditions align with seasonal baselines where urban heat island effects and average lows hover around 24–25°C, while model consensus shows minor spread from variable wind and cloud cover that could nudge the reading between 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 42% for 24°C and 35% for 25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the reliability of short-range guidance two days out, with lower-probability tails accounting for potential clearer skies or enhanced precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,705End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 10 near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. These conditions align with seasonal baselines where urban heat island effects and average lows hover around 24–25°C, while model consensus shows minor spread from variable wind and cloud cover that could nudge the reading between 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 42% for 24°C and 35% for 25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the reliability of short-range guidance two days out, with lower-probability tails accounting for potential clearer skies or enhanced precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,705End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 10 near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. These conditions align with seasonal baselines where urban heat island effects and average lows hover around 24–25°C, while model consensus shows minor spread from variable wind and cloud cover that could nudge the reading between 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 42% for 24°C and 35% for 25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the reliability of short-range guidance two days out, with lower-probability tails accounting for potential clearer skies or enhanced precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions