Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 10 point to a sunny day with a maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (50.5%) and 35°C (26.5%). Mid-August climatology shows average daily highs of 31–32°C, with rare excursions above 34°C under stable high-pressure patterns and light sea-breeze moderation. Recent extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforces this range, with minimal model spread and no incoming heat dome or Saharan air intrusion expected to push temperatures higher. Traders therefore price limited upside risk beyond 35°C while discounting cooler outcomes below 33°C. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 50%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
50%
35°C
27%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
50%
35°C
27%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 10 point to a sunny day with a maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (50.5%) and 35°C (26.5%). Mid-August climatology shows average daily highs of 31–32°C, with rare excursions above 34°C under stable high-pressure patterns and light sea-breeze moderation. Recent extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforces this range, with minimal model spread and no incoming heat dome or Saharan air intrusion expected to push temperatures higher. Traders therefore price limited upside risk beyond 35°C while discounting cooler outcomes below 33°C. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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