Persistent high pressure across southern England is driving a warm, settled pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds, reducing radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima in the 17–19°C range for London on August 10. Met Office guidance currently indicates a 17°C low amid daytime highs near 28°C, yet urban heat-island effects and potential model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep trader consensus centered on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-August climatology for the capital shows typical lows of 14–16°C, so the current elevated readings reflect the ongoing warm anomaly, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
14%
18°C
26%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$44 Vol.
4%
14°C
$44 Vol.
4%
15°C
$18 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$126 Vol.
26%
19°C
$23 Vol.
37%
20°C
$1 Vol.
14%
21°C
$39 Vol.
6%
22°C
$12 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across southern England is driving a warm, settled pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds, reducing radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima in the 17–19°C range for London on August 10. Met Office guidance currently indicates a 17°C low amid daytime highs near 28°C, yet urban heat-island effects and potential model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep trader consensus centered on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-August climatology for the capital shows typical lows of 14–16°C, so the current elevated readings reflect the ongoing warm anomaly, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across southern England is driving a warm, settled pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds, reducing radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima in the 17–19°C range for London on August 10. Met Office guidance currently indicates a 17°C low amid daytime highs near 28°C, yet urban heat-island effects and potential model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep trader consensus centered on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-August climatology for the capital shows typical lows of 14–16°C, so the current elevated readings reflect the ongoing warm anomaly, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure across southern England is driving a warm, settled pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds, reducing radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima in the 17–19°C range for London on August 10. Met Office guidance currently indicates a 17°C low amid daytime highs near 28°C, yet urban heat-island effects and potential model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep trader consensus centered on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-August climatology for the capital shows typical lows of 14–16°C, so the current elevated readings reflect the ongoing warm anomaly, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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