**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10 centers on 15°C as the leading outcome at 50% implied probability**, followed by 16°C (25.5%) and 14°C (13.5%). This distribution aligns closely with short-term forecast models and the city’s Mediterranean winter climate, where August daily highs typically average near 17°C but fluctuate with passing cold fronts and Atlantic influences. Recent data from sources like the South African Weather Service and extended outlooks indicate cooling trends and partly cloudy conditions around August 8–10, with highs potentially suppressed to 14–16°C amid light showers or northerly winds. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August support this narrow range over warmer outliers, as stronger high-pressure systems or delayed fronts would be needed to push readings above 17°C. Upcoming forecast updates from SAWS and NOAA-equivalent guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
15°C 50%
16°C 26%
14°C 14%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
11%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 50%
16°C 26%
14°C 14%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$74 Vol.
1%
13°C
$76 Vol.
4%
14°C
$121 Vol.
14%
15°C
$189 Vol.
50%
16°C
$178 Vol.
26%
17°C
$120 Vol.
11%
18°C
$96 Vol.
4%
19°C
$62 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10 centers on 15°C as the leading outcome at 50% implied probability**, followed by 16°C (25.5%) and 14°C (13.5%). This distribution aligns closely with short-term forecast models and the city’s Mediterranean winter climate, where August daily highs typically average near 17°C but fluctuate with passing cold fronts and Atlantic influences. Recent data from sources like the South African Weather Service and extended outlooks indicate cooling trends and partly cloudy conditions around August 8–10, with highs potentially suppressed to 14–16°C amid light showers or northerly winds. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August support this narrow range over warmer outliers, as stronger high-pressure systems or delayed fronts would be needed to push readings above 17°C. Upcoming forecast updates from SAWS and NOAA-equivalent guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,193End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10 centers on 15°C as the leading outcome at 50% implied probability**, followed by 16°C (25.5%) and 14°C (13.5%). This distribution aligns closely with short-term forecast models and the city’s Mediterranean winter climate, where August daily highs typically average near 17°C but fluctuate with passing cold fronts and Atlantic influences. Recent data from sources like the South African Weather Service and extended outlooks indicate cooling trends and partly cloudy conditions around August 8–10, with highs potentially suppressed to 14–16°C amid light showers or northerly winds. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August support this narrow range over warmer outliers, as stronger high-pressure systems or delayed fronts would be needed to push readings above 17°C. Upcoming forecast updates from SAWS and NOAA-equivalent guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,193End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10 centers on 15°C as the leading outcome at 50% implied probability**, followed by 16°C (25.5%) and 14°C (13.5%). This distribution aligns closely with short-term forecast models and the city’s Mediterranean winter climate, where August daily highs typically average near 17°C but fluctuate with passing cold fronts and Atlantic influences. Recent data from sources like the South African Weather Service and extended outlooks indicate cooling trends and partly cloudy conditions around August 8–10, with highs potentially suppressed to 14–16°C amid light showers or northerly winds. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August support this narrow range over warmer outliers, as stronger high-pressure systems or delayed fronts would be needed to push readings above 17°C. Upcoming forecast updates from SAWS and NOAA-equivalent guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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