Recent forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions, following a regional high-temperature episode earlier in the month when northern Shandong areas, including parts of Qingdao, reached 37–39°C. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location moderate extremes, while model consensus on steering patterns and limited moisture suggests the peak will likely stay in the mid-30s rather than pushing higher or dropping to seasonal averages around 29–30°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global models against potential cloud cover or minor shifts in the subtropical ridge, creating tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes and reflecting the narrow uncertainty range for this short-term temperature threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 8?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 8?
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
15%
34°C
26%
35°C
28%
36°C
21%
37°C
12%
38°C
5%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$9 Vol.
6%
33°C
$9 Vol.
15%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$36 Vol.
28%
36°C
$2 Vol.
21%
37°C
$58 Vol.
12%
38°C
$59 Vol.
5%
39°C
$5 Vol.
4%
40°C
$5 Vol.
2%
41°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions, following a regional high-temperature episode earlier in the month when northern Shandong areas, including parts of Qingdao, reached 37–39°C. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location moderate extremes, while model consensus on steering patterns and limited moisture suggests the peak will likely stay in the mid-30s rather than pushing higher or dropping to seasonal averages around 29–30°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global models against potential cloud cover or minor shifts in the subtropical ridge, creating tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes and reflecting the narrow uncertainty range for this short-term temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$575End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions, following a regional high-temperature episode earlier in the month when northern Shandong areas, including parts of Qingdao, reached 37–39°C. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location moderate extremes, while model consensus on steering patterns and limited moisture suggests the peak will likely stay in the mid-30s rather than pushing higher or dropping to seasonal averages around 29–30°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global models against potential cloud cover or minor shifts in the subtropical ridge, creating tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes and reflecting the narrow uncertainty range for this short-term temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$575End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions, following a regional high-temperature episode earlier in the month when northern Shandong areas, including parts of Qingdao, reached 37–39°C. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location moderate extremes, while model consensus on steering patterns and limited moisture suggests the peak will likely stay in the mid-30s rather than pushing higher or dropping to seasonal averages around 29–30°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global models against potential cloud cover or minor shifts in the subtropical ridge, creating tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes and reflecting the narrow uncertainty range for this short-term temperature threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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