Persistent high pressure and subsidence under clear skies are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance favoring daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s through mid-August. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 99–101°F for August 9, reflecting minor differences in forecasted boundary-layer mixing, southerly wind speeds, and any late-day convective inhibition. Historical early-August climatology for Dallas averages near 96–99°F, but the current dry pattern and lack of significant moisture return support the market’s close 98–101°F outcomes while leaving limited room for 102°F+ if mixing proves weaker than expected. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance ahead of the date will clarify these small but decisive variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
$12 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$17 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$244 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$227 Vol.
36%
100-101°F
$58 Vol.
41%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$109 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$85 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$31 Vol.
2%
110-111°F
$26 Vol.
2%
112°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under clear skies are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance favoring daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s through mid-August. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 99–101°F for August 9, reflecting minor differences in forecasted boundary-layer mixing, southerly wind speeds, and any late-day convective inhibition. Historical early-August climatology for Dallas averages near 96–99°F, but the current dry pattern and lack of significant moisture return support the market’s close 98–101°F outcomes while leaving limited room for 102°F+ if mixing proves weaker than expected. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance ahead of the date will clarify these small but decisive variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$880End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under clear skies are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance favoring daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s through mid-August. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 99–101°F for August 9, reflecting minor differences in forecasted boundary-layer mixing, southerly wind speeds, and any late-day convective inhibition. Historical early-August climatology for Dallas averages near 96–99°F, but the current dry pattern and lack of significant moisture return support the market’s close 98–101°F outcomes while leaving limited room for 102°F+ if mixing proves weaker than expected. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance ahead of the date will clarify these small but decisive variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$880End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence under clear skies are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance favoring daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s through mid-August. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 99–101°F for August 9, reflecting minor differences in forecasted boundary-layer mixing, southerly wind speeds, and any late-day convective inhibition. Historical early-August climatology for Dallas averages near 96–99°F, but the current dry pattern and lack of significant moisture return support the market’s close 98–101°F outcomes while leaving limited room for 102°F+ if mixing proves weaker than expected. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance ahead of the date will clarify these small but decisive variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions