Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by timeanddate.com point to a cooling trend in Busan by August 10, with daytime highs near 28–29°C amid isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from the North Pacific High's edge. This aligns with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (42%) and 31°C (26.5%), reflecting typical August coastal maxima of 29–31°C tempered by sea breezes and potential rain that limits peak heating. Historical climatology shows August averages around 29–30°C, with low odds on extremes due to forecast uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 10?
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
42%
31°C
27%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$489 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$404 Vol.
3%
28°C
$423 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,132 Vol.
18%
30°C
$2,393 Vol.
42%
31°C
$375 Vol.
27%
32°C
$257 Vol.
9%
33°C
$148 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by timeanddate.com point to a cooling trend in Busan by August 10, with daytime highs near 28–29°C amid isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from the North Pacific High's edge. This aligns with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (42%) and 31°C (26.5%), reflecting typical August coastal maxima of 29–31°C tempered by sea breezes and potential rain that limits peak heating. Historical climatology shows August averages around 29–30°C, with low odds on extremes due to forecast uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,842End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by timeanddate.com point to a cooling trend in Busan by August 10, with daytime highs near 28–29°C amid isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from the North Pacific High's edge. This aligns with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (42%) and 31°C (26.5%), reflecting typical August coastal maxima of 29–31°C tempered by sea breezes and potential rain that limits peak heating. Historical climatology shows August averages around 29–30°C, with low odds on extremes due to forecast uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,842End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by timeanddate.com point to a cooling trend in Busan by August 10, with daytime highs near 28–29°C amid isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from the North Pacific High's edge. This aligns with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (42%) and 31°C (26.5%), reflecting typical August coastal maxima of 29–31°C tempered by sea breezes and potential rain that limits peak heating. Historical climatology shows August averages around 29–30°C, with low odds on extremes due to forecast uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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