Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to overnight lows near 81°F in Miami on August 9 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms typical of peak summer, aligning with the market's leading 31.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. Variable cloud cover, humidity, and convective timing will determine radiative cooling rates, creating the observed spread across bins from 71°F or below to 90°F or higher. Historical August averages near 78°F provide context, yet short-term model differences in steering patterns and precipitation intensity sustain uncertainty ahead of final observations. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game evaluation of these atmospheric factors rather than any major recent shift in broader patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 9?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 20%
84-85°F 15%
76-77°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 20%
84-85°F 15%
76-77°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$6 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$27 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$6 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$36 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$103 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$22 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$36 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to overnight lows near 81°F in Miami on August 9 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms typical of peak summer, aligning with the market's leading 31.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. Variable cloud cover, humidity, and convective timing will determine radiative cooling rates, creating the observed spread across bins from 71°F or below to 90°F or higher. Historical August averages near 78°F provide context, yet short-term model differences in steering patterns and precipitation intensity sustain uncertainty ahead of final observations. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game evaluation of these atmospheric factors rather than any major recent shift in broader patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$291End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to overnight lows near 81°F in Miami on August 9 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms typical of peak summer, aligning with the market's leading 31.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. Variable cloud cover, humidity, and convective timing will determine radiative cooling rates, creating the observed spread across bins from 71°F or below to 90°F or higher. Historical August averages near 78°F provide context, yet short-term model differences in steering patterns and precipitation intensity sustain uncertainty ahead of final observations. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game evaluation of these atmospheric factors rather than any major recent shift in broader patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$291End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to overnight lows near 81°F in Miami on August 9 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms typical of peak summer, aligning with the market's leading 31.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. Variable cloud cover, humidity, and convective timing will determine radiative cooling rates, creating the observed spread across bins from 71°F or below to 90°F or higher. Historical August averages near 78°F provide context, yet short-term model differences in steering patterns and precipitation intensity sustain uncertainty ahead of final observations. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game evaluation of these atmospheric factors rather than any major recent shift in broader patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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