Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s on August 9, driven by a persistent marine layer and unusually warm nearshore Pacific waters tied to the strengthening El Niño. These conditions moderate daytime heating along the coast while limiting overnight cooling, producing daily highs typically 2–4°F above long-term August averages. Model consensus from the latest runs supports 78–79°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 51% market-implied probability, though any strengthening of onshore flow or shifts in the marine inversion could push readings into the mid-70s or low 80s. Traders will watch the next NWS update and short-range model trends for confirmation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$16 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$236 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$19 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$116 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s on August 9, driven by a persistent marine layer and unusually warm nearshore Pacific waters tied to the strengthening El Niño. These conditions moderate daytime heating along the coast while limiting overnight cooling, producing daily highs typically 2–4°F above long-term August averages. Model consensus from the latest runs supports 78–79°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 51% market-implied probability, though any strengthening of onshore flow or shifts in the marine inversion could push readings into the mid-70s or low 80s. Traders will watch the next NWS update and short-range model trends for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$466End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s on August 9, driven by a persistent marine layer and unusually warm nearshore Pacific waters tied to the strengthening El Niño. These conditions moderate daytime heating along the coast while limiting overnight cooling, producing daily highs typically 2–4°F above long-term August averages. Model consensus from the latest runs supports 78–79°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 51% market-implied probability, though any strengthening of onshore flow or shifts in the marine inversion could push readings into the mid-70s or low 80s. Traders will watch the next NWS update and short-range model trends for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$466End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s on August 9, driven by a persistent marine layer and unusually warm nearshore Pacific waters tied to the strengthening El Niño. These conditions moderate daytime heating along the coast while limiting overnight cooling, producing daily highs typically 2–4°F above long-term August averages. Model consensus from the latest runs supports 78–79°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 51% market-implied probability, though any strengthening of onshore flow or shifts in the marine inversion could push readings into the mid-70s or low 80s. Traders will watch the next NWS update and short-range model trends for confirmation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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