Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 9 high, reflecting typical late-wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima near or slightly above the 29–30°C August climatological average. Recent model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather points to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and surface temperatures reaching 31–33°C, with localized heating in clearer periods supporting the slim chance of 34°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover limit extreme outliers, while the absence of anomalous large-scale drivers such as a strong El Niño keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed seasonal range. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and morning observations on August 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 9?
33°C 46%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
46%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$87 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$45 Vol.
2%
31°C
$197 Vol.
6%
32°C
$309 Vol.
26%
33°C
$199 Vol.
46%
34°C
$628 Vol.
20%
35°C
$102 Vol.
3%
36°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 9 high, reflecting typical late-wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima near or slightly above the 29–30°C August climatological average. Recent model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather points to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and surface temperatures reaching 31–33°C, with localized heating in clearer periods supporting the slim chance of 34°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover limit extreme outliers, while the absence of anomalous large-scale drivers such as a strong El Niño keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed seasonal range. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and morning observations on August 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,736End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 9 high, reflecting typical late-wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima near or slightly above the 29–30°C August climatological average. Recent model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather points to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and surface temperatures reaching 31–33°C, with localized heating in clearer periods supporting the slim chance of 34°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover limit extreme outliers, while the absence of anomalous large-scale drivers such as a strong El Niño keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed seasonal range. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and morning observations on August 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,736End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 9 high, reflecting typical late-wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima near or slightly above the 29–30°C August climatological average. Recent model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather points to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and surface temperatures reaching 31–33°C, with localized heating in clearer periods supporting the slim chance of 34°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover limit extreme outliers, while the absence of anomalous large-scale drivers such as a strong El Niño keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed seasonal range. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and morning observations on August 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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