Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to a modest cooling trend into August 13, with Moscow's daily maximum most likely settling between 15–17°C under increasing cloud cover, light showers, and a shift to cooler northwesterly flow behind a weak frontal boundary. Model spread remains tight for this short-range horizon, with differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the close contest among the leading outcomes; historical August averages near 22°C underscore the atypical suppression. Official station data at resolution time will confirm the peak, and any late adjustments to insolation or precipitation intensity represent the main variables traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 35%
17°C 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
23%
16°C
35%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
17°C 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
13°C
$69 Vol.
3%
14°C
$59 Vol.
11%
15°C
$73 Vol.
23%
16°C
$145 Vol.
35%
17°C
$130 Vol.
26%
18°C
$299 Vol.
6%
19°C
$74 Vol.
3%
20°C
$199 Vol.
2%
21°C
$54 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to a modest cooling trend into August 13, with Moscow's daily maximum most likely settling between 15–17°C under increasing cloud cover, light showers, and a shift to cooler northwesterly flow behind a weak frontal boundary. Model spread remains tight for this short-range horizon, with differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the close contest among the leading outcomes; historical August averages near 22°C underscore the atypical suppression. Official station data at resolution time will confirm the peak, and any late adjustments to insolation or precipitation intensity represent the main variables traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,138End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to a modest cooling trend into August 13, with Moscow's daily maximum most likely settling between 15–17°C under increasing cloud cover, light showers, and a shift to cooler northwesterly flow behind a weak frontal boundary. Model spread remains tight for this short-range horizon, with differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the close contest among the leading outcomes; historical August averages near 22°C underscore the atypical suppression. Official station data at resolution time will confirm the peak, and any late adjustments to insolation or precipitation intensity represent the main variables traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,138End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to a modest cooling trend into August 13, with Moscow's daily maximum most likely settling between 15–17°C under increasing cloud cover, light showers, and a shift to cooler northwesterly flow behind a weak frontal boundary. Model spread remains tight for this short-range horizon, with differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the close contest among the leading outcomes; historical August averages near 22°C underscore the atypical suppression. Official station data at resolution time will confirm the peak, and any late adjustments to insolation or precipitation intensity represent the main variables traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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