Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to late-monsoon conditions favoring a Karachi high of 32–33°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47.5% for 33°C and 31.5% for 32°C. Above-normal humidity, scattered cloud cover, and possible isolated showers are expected to cap extremes while climatological baselines place typical August maxima near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though minor shifts in monsoon low positioning could nudge the outcome toward 34°C or hold it at 31°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamical and statistical signals heavily ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
33°C 48%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
48%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
3%
31°C
$135 Vol.
6%
32°C
$206 Vol.
32%
33°C
$369 Vol.
48%
34°C
$287 Vol.
15%
35°C
$61 Vol.
4%
36°C
$45 Vol.
2%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to late-monsoon conditions favoring a Karachi high of 32–33°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47.5% for 33°C and 31.5% for 32°C. Above-normal humidity, scattered cloud cover, and possible isolated showers are expected to cap extremes while climatological baselines place typical August maxima near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though minor shifts in monsoon low positioning could nudge the outcome toward 34°C or hold it at 31°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamical and statistical signals heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,737End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to late-monsoon conditions favoring a Karachi high of 32–33°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47.5% for 33°C and 31.5% for 32°C. Above-normal humidity, scattered cloud cover, and possible isolated showers are expected to cap extremes while climatological baselines place typical August maxima near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though minor shifts in monsoon low positioning could nudge the outcome toward 34°C or hold it at 31°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamical and statistical signals heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,737End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to late-monsoon conditions favoring a Karachi high of 32–33°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47.5% for 33°C and 31.5% for 32°C. Above-normal humidity, scattered cloud cover, and possible isolated showers are expected to cap extremes while climatological baselines place typical August maxima near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though minor shifts in monsoon low positioning could nudge the outcome toward 34°C or hold it at 31°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamical and statistical signals heavily ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions