Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources like the ECMWF and DWD place Munich's August 11 maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 37% because recent model runs and nearby station trends favor slight warming from clear-sky radiative heating and urban heat retention, while 30°C and 32°C probabilities reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development. Historical August baselines around 24–25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range forecast spread keeps outcomes closely contested until final observational data arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 11?
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$53 Vol.
1%
28°C
$53 Vol.
1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
5%
30°C
$517 Vol.
22%
31°C
$239 Vol.
37%
32°C
$233 Vol.
27%
33°C
$70 Vol.
9%
34°C
$68 Vol.
3%
35°C
$33 Vol.
2%
36°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources like the ECMWF and DWD place Munich's August 11 maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 37% because recent model runs and nearby station trends favor slight warming from clear-sky radiative heating and urban heat retention, while 30°C and 32°C probabilities reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development. Historical August baselines around 24–25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range forecast spread keeps outcomes closely contested until final observational data arrive.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,423End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources like the ECMWF and DWD place Munich's August 11 maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 37% because recent model runs and nearby station trends favor slight warming from clear-sky radiative heating and urban heat retention, while 30°C and 32°C probabilities reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development. Historical August baselines around 24–25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range forecast spread keeps outcomes closely contested until final observational data arrive.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,423End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources like the ECMWF and DWD place Munich's August 11 maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 37% because recent model runs and nearby station trends favor slight warming from clear-sky radiative heating and urban heat retention, while 30°C and 32°C probabilities reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development. Historical August baselines around 24–25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range forecast spread keeps outcomes closely contested until final observational data arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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