Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and short-range models, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on August 13 amid active monsoon conditions with scattered showers and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 32–34°C but exhibit day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and steering winds. IMD’s seasonal outlook for below-normal August rainfall (94% of long-period average) has modestly elevated implied probabilities for 35–36°C by suggesting reduced cooling from precipitation and greater solar insolation in northern plains stations. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before the date, with official updates expected from IMD’s extended-range forecasts and local observatory readings that will determine the precise maximum used for market resolution. Trader positioning around 34–36°C therefore reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of extremes given persistent monsoon moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 13?
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$281 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$65 Vol.
1%
32°C
$13 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$388 Vol.
19%
35°C
$12 Vol.
37%
36°C
$66 Vol.
26%
37°C
$58 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and short-range models, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on August 13 amid active monsoon conditions with scattered showers and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 32–34°C but exhibit day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and steering winds. IMD’s seasonal outlook for below-normal August rainfall (94% of long-period average) has modestly elevated implied probabilities for 35–36°C by suggesting reduced cooling from precipitation and greater solar insolation in northern plains stations. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before the date, with official updates expected from IMD’s extended-range forecasts and local observatory readings that will determine the precise maximum used for market resolution. Trader positioning around 34–36°C therefore reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of extremes given persistent monsoon moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$920End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and short-range models, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on August 13 amid active monsoon conditions with scattered showers and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 32–34°C but exhibit day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and steering winds. IMD’s seasonal outlook for below-normal August rainfall (94% of long-period average) has modestly elevated implied probabilities for 35–36°C by suggesting reduced cooling from precipitation and greater solar insolation in northern plains stations. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before the date, with official updates expected from IMD’s extended-range forecasts and local observatory readings that will determine the precise maximum used for market resolution. Trader positioning around 34–36°C therefore reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of extremes given persistent monsoon moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$920End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and short-range models, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on August 13 amid active monsoon conditions with scattered showers and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 32–34°C but exhibit day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and steering winds. IMD’s seasonal outlook for below-normal August rainfall (94% of long-period average) has modestly elevated implied probabilities for 35–36°C by suggesting reduced cooling from precipitation and greater solar insolation in northern plains stations. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before the date, with official updates expected from IMD’s extended-range forecasts and local observatory readings that will determine the precise maximum used for market resolution. Trader positioning around 34–36°C therefore reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of extremes given persistent monsoon moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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