Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate substantial uncertainty in Lucknow's peak temperature for August 12 amid active monsoon conditions, where the closely matched 35–36 °C market leaders reflect variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and moisture influx that can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent observational trends show typical mid-August humidity and convective activity moderating heat, with historical baselines placing average highs near 34–35 °C; stronger breaks in monsoon flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 37 °C, while heavier showers favor the lower end. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official India Meteorological Department measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
36°C 40%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
37°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
13%
35°C
34%
36°C
40%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
5%
36°C 40%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
37°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$12 Vol.
1%
33°C
$20 Vol.
7%
34°C
$11 Vol.
13%
35°C
$185 Vol.
34%
36°C
$72 Vol.
40%
37°C
$28 Vol.
13%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate substantial uncertainty in Lucknow's peak temperature for August 12 amid active monsoon conditions, where the closely matched 35–36 °C market leaders reflect variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and moisture influx that can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent observational trends show typical mid-August humidity and convective activity moderating heat, with historical baselines placing average highs near 34–35 °C; stronger breaks in monsoon flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 37 °C, while heavier showers favor the lower end. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official India Meteorological Department measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate substantial uncertainty in Lucknow's peak temperature for August 12 amid active monsoon conditions, where the closely matched 35–36 °C market leaders reflect variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and moisture influx that can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent observational trends show typical mid-August humidity and convective activity moderating heat, with historical baselines placing average highs near 34–35 °C; stronger breaks in monsoon flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 37 °C, while heavier showers favor the lower end. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official India Meteorological Department measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate substantial uncertainty in Lucknow's peak temperature for August 12 amid active monsoon conditions, where the closely matched 35–36 °C market leaders reflect variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and moisture influx that can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent observational trends show typical mid-August humidity and convective activity moderating heat, with historical baselines placing average highs near 34–35 °C; stronger breaks in monsoon flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 37 °C, while heavier showers favor the lower end. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official India Meteorological Department measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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