Current forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes and expected cloud cover or light rain. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating from onshore flow and possible convective activity, while slight variations in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 28–30°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns sustains the close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C. Newer guidance from regional meteorological centers expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
31°C 37%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
37%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$30 Vol.
37%
32°C
$7 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$50 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes and expected cloud cover or light rain. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating from onshore flow and possible convective activity, while slight variations in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 28–30°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns sustains the close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C. Newer guidance from regional meteorological centers expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes and expected cloud cover or light rain. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating from onshore flow and possible convective activity, while slight variations in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 28–30°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns sustains the close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C. Newer guidance from regional meteorological centers expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes and expected cloud cover or light rain. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating from onshore flow and possible convective activity, while slight variations in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 28–30°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns sustains the close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C. Newer guidance from regional meteorological centers expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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