Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 11 indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C, with partly cloudy skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate winds, consistent with late-summer conditions and the market's tight clustering around 22°C (39.5%) and 23°C (31%). Ensemble guidance from models such as those underlying CustomWeather shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and typical diurnal heating patterns, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat retention can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context, but recent model runs emphasize cooling influences from overnight lows near 14–15°C and light precipitation chances under 10%. Updated runs from European and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine this before resolution on official IMGW observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
22°C 40%
23°C 31%
24°C 16%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
10%
22°C
40%
23°C
31%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 31%
24°C 16%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
19°C
$38 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$96 Vol.
10%
22°C
$107 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$11 Vol.
2%
26°C
$15 Vol.
4%
27°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 11 indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C, with partly cloudy skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate winds, consistent with late-summer conditions and the market's tight clustering around 22°C (39.5%) and 23°C (31%). Ensemble guidance from models such as those underlying CustomWeather shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and typical diurnal heating patterns, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat retention can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context, but recent model runs emphasize cooling influences from overnight lows near 14–15°C and light precipitation chances under 10%. Updated runs from European and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine this before resolution on official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$732End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 11 indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C, with partly cloudy skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate winds, consistent with late-summer conditions and the market's tight clustering around 22°C (39.5%) and 23°C (31%). Ensemble guidance from models such as those underlying CustomWeather shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and typical diurnal heating patterns, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat retention can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context, but recent model runs emphasize cooling influences from overnight lows near 14–15°C and light precipitation chances under 10%. Updated runs from European and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine this before resolution on official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$732End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 11 indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C, with partly cloudy skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate winds, consistent with late-summer conditions and the market's tight clustering around 22°C (39.5%) and 23°C (31%). Ensemble guidance from models such as those underlying CustomWeather shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and typical diurnal heating patterns, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat retention can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context, but recent model runs emphasize cooling influences from overnight lows near 14–15°C and light precipitation chances under 10%. Updated runs from European and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine this before resolution on official IMGW observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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