Persistent warm subtropical air under clear skies and light winds is driving Tel Aviv's projected high near 33°C on August 13, consistent with Israel Meteorological Service guidance and models from AccuWeather and timeanddate showing 32–34°C. This sits slightly above the mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C, following an early-August heat wave that has now moderated without new intensification signals. Coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the narrow 33–34°C band, while model consensus and short lead time limit upside to 35°C or higher. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 57%
34°C 33%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
57%
34°C
33%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 33%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
57%
34°C
33%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical air under clear skies and light winds is driving Tel Aviv's projected high near 33°C on August 13, consistent with Israel Meteorological Service guidance and models from AccuWeather and timeanddate showing 32–34°C. This sits slightly above the mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C, following an early-August heat wave that has now moderated without new intensification signals. Coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the narrow 33–34°C band, while model consensus and short lead time limit upside to 35°C or higher. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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