National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official measurement site, show a daytime high near 77–78°F on August 11 amid a typical marine layer with morning patchy fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing. Persistent onshore southwest flow and associated low-level stratus limit solar heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite broader regional warmth. Model guidance remains tightly clustered around these temperatures, with little spread expected before the daily peak. Traders have accordingly placed the strongest weight on the 78–79°F bin (58 % implied probability) and 76–77°F range (34.5 %), consistent with climatological norms for early-to-mid August at the airport and the absence of any significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11?
78-79°F 59%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 4%
NEW
$17,883 Vol.
NEW
$17,883 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
59%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 59%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 4%
NEW
$17,883 Vol.
NEW
$17,883 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
69°F or below
$786 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$802 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$685 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$958 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$2,722 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$3,781 Vol.
59%
80-81°F
$915 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$945 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,544 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$3,038 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official measurement site, show a daytime high near 77–78°F on August 11 amid a typical marine layer with morning patchy fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing. Persistent onshore southwest flow and associated low-level stratus limit solar heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite broader regional warmth. Model guidance remains tightly clustered around these temperatures, with little spread expected before the daily peak. Traders have accordingly placed the strongest weight on the 78–79°F bin (58 % implied probability) and 76–77°F range (34.5 %), consistent with climatological norms for early-to-mid August at the airport and the absence of any significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$17,883End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official measurement site, show a daytime high near 77–78°F on August 11 amid a typical marine layer with morning patchy fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing. Persistent onshore southwest flow and associated low-level stratus limit solar heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite broader regional warmth. Model guidance remains tightly clustered around these temperatures, with little spread expected before the daily peak. Traders have accordingly placed the strongest weight on the 78–79°F bin (58 % implied probability) and 76–77°F range (34.5 %), consistent with climatological norms for early-to-mid August at the airport and the absence of any significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,883End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official measurement site, show a daytime high near 77–78°F on August 11 amid a typical marine layer with morning patchy fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing. Persistent onshore southwest flow and associated low-level stratus limit solar heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite broader regional warmth. Model guidance remains tightly clustered around these temperatures, with little spread expected before the daily peak. Traders have accordingly placed the strongest weight on the 78–79°F bin (58 % implied probability) and 76–77°F range (34.5 %), consistent with climatological norms for early-to-mid August at the airport and the absence of any significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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