Recent short-term forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate afternoon thunderstorm development and increased cloud cover over Houston on August 10, moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s despite the region's typical mid-August heat driven by high humidity and southerly flow. This pattern, with sea breeze influences and scattered convection, has shifted trader consensus toward an 88–89°F high as the most probable outcome, while reducing odds of 90°F+ readings that dominate climatological averages near 95°F. Model agreement on limited insolation supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations at key stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 10?
88-89°F 53%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
53%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 53%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
79°F or below
$204 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$147 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$491 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$1,080 Vol.
21%
88-89°F
$1,139 Vol.
53%
90-91°F
$741 Vol.
23%
92-93°F
$590 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$252 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$84 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$829 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate afternoon thunderstorm development and increased cloud cover over Houston on August 10, moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s despite the region's typical mid-August heat driven by high humidity and southerly flow. This pattern, with sea breeze influences and scattered convection, has shifted trader consensus toward an 88–89°F high as the most probable outcome, while reducing odds of 90°F+ readings that dominate climatological averages near 95°F. Model agreement on limited insolation supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations at key stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$5,697End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate afternoon thunderstorm development and increased cloud cover over Houston on August 10, moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s despite the region's typical mid-August heat driven by high humidity and southerly flow. This pattern, with sea breeze influences and scattered convection, has shifted trader consensus toward an 88–89°F high as the most probable outcome, while reducing odds of 90°F+ readings that dominate climatological averages near 95°F. Model agreement on limited insolation supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations at key stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,697End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate afternoon thunderstorm development and increased cloud cover over Houston on August 10, moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s despite the region's typical mid-August heat driven by high humidity and southerly flow. This pattern, with sea breeze influences and scattered convection, has shifted trader consensus toward an 88–89°F high as the most probable outcome, while reducing odds of 90°F+ readings that dominate climatological averages near 95°F. Model agreement on limited insolation supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations at key stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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