Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 10?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
$12,083 Vol.
NEW
$12,083 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
$12,083 Vol.
NEW
$12,083 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
65°F or below
$771 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,189 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$1,419 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$1,278 Vol.
37%
72-73°F
$1,103 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$1,171 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$890 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$491 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$800 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$12,083End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,083End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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