Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicate a high-pressure ridge sustaining daytime highs near 100°F across north Texas on August 11, producing the narrow market edge for the 100-101°F bin. Key differentiating factors include afternoon dew points near 70°F that could cap realized maxima through reduced sensible heating, versus lighter winds and clearer skies that would allow temperatures to edge higher. Recent model shifts show the GFS trending slightly warmer than the ECMWF, underscoring genuine uncertainty between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes that together hold nearly 80% implied probability. Final official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 11?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 11?
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 11%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 11%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
93°F or below
$486 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$70 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$322 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$302 Vol.
35%
100-101°F
$205 Vol.
44%
102-103°F
$199 Vol.
11%
104-105°F
$120 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$22 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$90 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$90 Vol.
1%
112°F or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicate a high-pressure ridge sustaining daytime highs near 100°F across north Texas on August 11, producing the narrow market edge for the 100-101°F bin. Key differentiating factors include afternoon dew points near 70°F that could cap realized maxima through reduced sensible heating, versus lighter winds and clearer skies that would allow temperatures to edge higher. Recent model shifts show the GFS trending slightly warmer than the ECMWF, underscoring genuine uncertainty between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes that together hold nearly 80% implied probability. Final official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,997End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicate a high-pressure ridge sustaining daytime highs near 100°F across north Texas on August 11, producing the narrow market edge for the 100-101°F bin. Key differentiating factors include afternoon dew points near 70°F that could cap realized maxima through reduced sensible heating, versus lighter winds and clearer skies that would allow temperatures to edge higher. Recent model shifts show the GFS trending slightly warmer than the ECMWF, underscoring genuine uncertainty between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes that together hold nearly 80% implied probability. Final official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,997End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicate a high-pressure ridge sustaining daytime highs near 100°F across north Texas on August 11, producing the narrow market edge for the 100-101°F bin. Key differentiating factors include afternoon dew points near 70°F that could cap realized maxima through reduced sensible heating, versus lighter winds and clearer skies that would allow temperatures to edge higher. Recent model shifts show the GFS trending slightly warmer than the ECMWF, underscoring genuine uncertainty between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes that together hold nearly 80% implied probability. Final official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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