Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Incheon on August 11 under clearing skies and light easterly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High solar insolation typical of mid-August, combined with elevated boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon, supports strong daytime heating while coastal sea-breeze effects and any residual cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in the exact maximum. Historical climatology shows Incheon August highs averaging near 29–30°C, so current warmth reflects a lingering heatwave regime; the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations will refine whether radiative cooling overnight or subtle wind shifts push the peak across the 33–34°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$360 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
8%
32°C
$46 Vol.
23%
33°C
$58 Vol.
35%
34°C
$40 Vol.
28%
35°C
$1 Vol.
10%
36°C
$15 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$798 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Incheon on August 11 under clearing skies and light easterly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High solar insolation typical of mid-August, combined with elevated boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon, supports strong daytime heating while coastal sea-breeze effects and any residual cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in the exact maximum. Historical climatology shows Incheon August highs averaging near 29–30°C, so current warmth reflects a lingering heatwave regime; the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations will refine whether radiative cooling overnight or subtle wind shifts push the peak across the 33–34°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,480End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Incheon on August 11 under clearing skies and light easterly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High solar insolation typical of mid-August, combined with elevated boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon, supports strong daytime heating while coastal sea-breeze effects and any residual cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in the exact maximum. Historical climatology shows Incheon August highs averaging near 29–30°C, so current warmth reflects a lingering heatwave regime; the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations will refine whether radiative cooling overnight or subtle wind shifts push the peak across the 33–34°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,480End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Incheon on August 11 under clearing skies and light easterly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High solar insolation typical of mid-August, combined with elevated boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon, supports strong daytime heating while coastal sea-breeze effects and any residual cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in the exact maximum. Historical climatology shows Incheon August highs averaging near 29–30°C, so current warmth reflects a lingering heatwave regime; the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations will refine whether radiative cooling overnight or subtle wind shifts push the peak across the 33–34°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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