Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
17%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$371 Vol.
2%
32°C
$433 Vol.
3%
33°C
$225 Vol.
12%
34°C
$587 Vol.
30%
35°C
$381 Vol.
35%
36°C
$180 Vol.
17%
37°C
$835 Vol.
8%
38°C
$1,305 Vol.
2%
39°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,658End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,658End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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