Latest ensemble runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 30–31 °C, with the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in the market. Light south-westerly flow under high pressure favors strong diurnal heating, yet variable high-cloud cover and the precise timing of the afternoon peak introduce a 1–2 °C spread across members. Clearer skies or brief clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while earlier or thicker cloud development would cap values at 29–30 °C. This tight clustering reflects traders’ assessment of insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and modest warm-air advection against typical late-summer baselines. Updated model guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 13?
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$18 Vol.
17%
30°C
$118 Vol.
32%
31°C
$12 Vol.
34%
32°C
$63 Vol.
13%
33°C
$72 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 30–31 °C, with the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in the market. Light south-westerly flow under high pressure favors strong diurnal heating, yet variable high-cloud cover and the precise timing of the afternoon peak introduce a 1–2 °C spread across members. Clearer skies or brief clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while earlier or thicker cloud development would cap values at 29–30 °C. This tight clustering reflects traders’ assessment of insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and modest warm-air advection against typical late-summer baselines. Updated model guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$319End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 30–31 °C, with the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in the market. Light south-westerly flow under high pressure favors strong diurnal heating, yet variable high-cloud cover and the precise timing of the afternoon peak introduce a 1–2 °C spread across members. Clearer skies or brief clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while earlier or thicker cloud development would cap values at 29–30 °C. This tight clustering reflects traders’ assessment of insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and modest warm-air advection against typical late-summer baselines. Updated model guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 30–31 °C, with the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in the market. Light south-westerly flow under high pressure favors strong diurnal heating, yet variable high-cloud cover and the precise timing of the afternoon peak introduce a 1–2 °C spread across members. Clearer skies or brief clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while earlier or thicker cloud development would cap values at 29–30 °C. This tight clustering reflects traders’ assessment of insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and modest warm-air advection against typical late-summer baselines. Updated model guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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