Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with sunny periods, a few showers, and highs around 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with climatological baselines where overnight lows often range 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus between 28°C and 29°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or elevate the daily minimum by 1°C depending on model runs; weaker steering patterns or localized showers would favor the lower end, while clearer conditions push toward 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
27°C 15%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
42%
29°C
35%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
27°C 15%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$247 Vol.
1%
25°C
$796 Vol.
1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
3%
27°C
$159 Vol.
15%
28°C
$1,745 Vol.
42%
29°C
$2,241 Vol.
35%
30°C
$1,564 Vol.
6%
31°C
$256 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$780 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with sunny periods, a few showers, and highs around 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with climatological baselines where overnight lows often range 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus between 28°C and 29°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or elevate the daily minimum by 1°C depending on model runs; weaker steering patterns or localized showers would favor the lower end, while clearer conditions push toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,203End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with sunny periods, a few showers, and highs around 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with climatological baselines where overnight lows often range 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus between 28°C and 29°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or elevate the daily minimum by 1°C depending on model runs; weaker steering patterns or localized showers would favor the lower end, while clearer conditions push toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,203End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with sunny periods, a few showers, and highs around 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with climatological baselines where overnight lows often range 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus between 28°C and 29°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or elevate the daily minimum by 1°C depending on model runs; weaker steering patterns or localized showers would favor the lower end, while clearer conditions push toward 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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