Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 14 project a daily minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability ahead of malbok, the traditional peak of the hot season, with steering patterns favoring continued warm advection from the south. Trader consensus clustering at 24–26°C reflects these stable conditions and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected cold front or clear-sky radiative drop not currently indicated in official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
41%
26°C
27%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$38 Vol.
1%
22°C
$27 Vol.
3%
23°C
$20 Vol.
6%
24°C
$69 Vol.
35%
25°C
$114 Vol.
41%
26°C
$32 Vol.
27%
27°C
$121 Vol.
12%
28°C
$33 Vol.
2%
29°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 14 project a daily minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability ahead of malbok, the traditional peak of the hot season, with steering patterns favoring continued warm advection from the south. Trader consensus clustering at 24–26°C reflects these stable conditions and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected cold front or clear-sky radiative drop not currently indicated in official guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$765End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 14 project a daily minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability ahead of malbok, the traditional peak of the hot season, with steering patterns favoring continued warm advection from the south. Trader consensus clustering at 24–26°C reflects these stable conditions and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected cold front or clear-sky radiative drop not currently indicated in official guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$765End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 14 project a daily minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability ahead of malbok, the traditional peak of the hot season, with steering patterns favoring continued warm advection from the south. Trader consensus clustering at 24–26°C reflects these stable conditions and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected cold front or clear-sky radiative drop not currently indicated in official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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