Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 13, 2026, highlight scattered rain and moderate cloud cover as the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Summer monsoon moisture and potential frontal systems suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while typical late-August cooling trends from declining solar angle contribute to the narrow range. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, with urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns adding minor variability. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 13%
$33,626 Vol.
$33,626 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 13%
$33,626 Vol.
$33,626 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 13, 2026, highlight scattered rain and moderate cloud cover as the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Summer monsoon moisture and potential frontal systems suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while typical late-August cooling trends from declining solar angle contribute to the narrow range. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, with urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns adding minor variability. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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