Current short-range forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on August 13, driven by expected overcast skies, light rain or thundershowers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August Yangtze River valley patterns of high humidity and monsoon-related cloudiness, which historically suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32–35°C. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, with lower odds for 30°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing or intensity of precipitation; any clearing could push readings higher while persistent rain would favor 27°C or below. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 13?
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
25%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$371 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$550 Vol.
2%
25°C
$180 Vol.
3%
26°C
$27 Vol.
7%
27°C
$734 Vol.
24%
28°C
$486 Vol.
30%
29°C
$267 Vol.
25%
30°C
$75 Vol.
8%
31°C
$206 Vol.
3%
32°C
$16 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on August 13, driven by expected overcast skies, light rain or thundershowers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August Yangtze River valley patterns of high humidity and monsoon-related cloudiness, which historically suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32–35°C. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, with lower odds for 30°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing or intensity of precipitation; any clearing could push readings higher while persistent rain would favor 27°C or below. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,991End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on August 13, driven by expected overcast skies, light rain or thundershowers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August Yangtze River valley patterns of high humidity and monsoon-related cloudiness, which historically suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32–35°C. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, with lower odds for 30°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing or intensity of precipitation; any clearing could push readings higher while persistent rain would favor 27°C or below. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,991End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on August 13, driven by expected overcast skies, light rain or thundershowers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August Yangtze River valley patterns of high humidity and monsoon-related cloudiness, which historically suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32–35°C. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, with lower odds for 30°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing or intensity of precipitation; any clearing could push readings higher while persistent rain would favor 27°C or below. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions