Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a highest temperature near 29–30°C on August 14, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate pointing to partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate onshore flow that typically caps coastal maxima. Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C because the city’s maritime influence and expected humidity levels historically limit peaks compared to inland Shandong sites, while slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. With odds tightly grouped, small changes in updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variable for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 14?
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 16%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
20%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
3%
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 16%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
20%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a highest temperature near 29–30°C on August 14, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate pointing to partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate onshore flow that typically caps coastal maxima. Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C because the city’s maritime influence and expected humidity levels historically limit peaks compared to inland Shandong sites, while slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. With odds tightly grouped, small changes in updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variable for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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