Recent heat driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has elevated Hong Kong Observatory readings near or above 36–37°C in recent days, sustaining market focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models summarized by AccuWeather point to a high around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible showers that could limit further intensification. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, while any strengthening of easterly flow or increased cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift the outcome toward 32°C or hold it near 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 43%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
31%
33°C
43%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$666 Vol.
2%
31°C
$636 Vol.
4%
32°C
$319 Vol.
31%
33°C
$1,652 Vol.
43%
34°C
$391 Vol.
20%
35°C
$967 Vol.
3%
36°C
$190 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heat driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has elevated Hong Kong Observatory readings near or above 36–37°C in recent days, sustaining market focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models summarized by AccuWeather point to a high around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible showers that could limit further intensification. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, while any strengthening of easterly flow or increased cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift the outcome toward 32°C or hold it near 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,500End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heat driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has elevated Hong Kong Observatory readings near or above 36–37°C in recent days, sustaining market focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models summarized by AccuWeather point to a high around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible showers that could limit further intensification. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, while any strengthening of easterly flow or increased cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift the outcome toward 32°C or hold it near 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,500End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has elevated Hong Kong Observatory readings near or above 36–37°C in recent days, sustaining market focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models summarized by AccuWeather point to a high around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible showers that could limit further intensification. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, while any strengthening of easterly flow or increased cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift the outcome toward 32°C or hold it near 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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