Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12, 2026, center on a maximum of 32°C under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's continental summer climate, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended European outlooks supporting this range amid minimal precipitation risk. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 30–33°C through early August, consistent with seasonal baselines around 31°C, and no incoming fronts or anomalies expected to drive significant deviations. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while 31°C and 33°C capture the narrower uncertainty bands from minor model variations in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Updated National Meteorological Service briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 12?
32°C 57%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
28%
32°C
57%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$370 Vol.
1%
29°C
$24 Vol.
3%
30°C
$20 Vol.
5%
31°C
$164 Vol.
28%
32°C
$105 Vol.
57%
33°C
$61 Vol.
13%
34°C
$25 Vol.
3%
35°C
$35 Vol.
2%
36°C
$30 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12, 2026, center on a maximum of 32°C under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's continental summer climate, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended European outlooks supporting this range amid minimal precipitation risk. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 30–33°C through early August, consistent with seasonal baselines around 31°C, and no incoming fronts or anomalies expected to drive significant deviations. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while 31°C and 33°C capture the narrower uncertainty bands from minor model variations in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Updated National Meteorological Service briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$884End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12, 2026, center on a maximum of 32°C under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's continental summer climate, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended European outlooks supporting this range amid minimal precipitation risk. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 30–33°C through early August, consistent with seasonal baselines around 31°C, and no incoming fronts or anomalies expected to drive significant deviations. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while 31°C and 33°C capture the narrower uncertainty bands from minor model variations in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Updated National Meteorological Service briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$884End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12, 2026, center on a maximum of 32°C under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's continental summer climate, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended European outlooks supporting this range amid minimal precipitation risk. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 30–33°C through early August, consistent with seasonal baselines around 31°C, and no incoming fronts or anomalies expected to drive significant deviations. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while 31°C and 33°C capture the narrower uncertainty bands from minor model variations in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Updated National Meteorological Service briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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