Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny skies and light winds over Beijing on September 11, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 27°C seasonal average. Numerical guidance clusters around 29–31°C, with peak afternoon readings influenced by clear conditions and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (44.5%) and 32°C (33%) aligns with model spreads showing modest warming potential under stable high pressure, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below reflect the limited cooling expected from northerly flows. Updated runs through early September 9 show no significant precipitation or frontal systems to alter this trajectory before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
31°C 45%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
45%
32°C
33%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$350 Vol.
2%
28°C
$165 Vol.
3%
29°C
$341 Vol.
6%
30°C
$200 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,429 Vol.
45%
32°C
$865 Vol.
33%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny skies and light winds over Beijing on September 11, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 27°C seasonal average. Numerical guidance clusters around 29–31°C, with peak afternoon readings influenced by clear conditions and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (44.5%) and 32°C (33%) aligns with model spreads showing modest warming potential under stable high pressure, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below reflect the limited cooling expected from northerly flows. Updated runs through early September 9 show no significant precipitation or frontal systems to alter this trajectory before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,822End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny skies and light winds over Beijing on September 11, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 27°C seasonal average. Numerical guidance clusters around 29–31°C, with peak afternoon readings influenced by clear conditions and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (44.5%) and 32°C (33%) aligns with model spreads showing modest warming potential under stable high pressure, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below reflect the limited cooling expected from northerly flows. Updated runs through early September 9 show no significant precipitation or frontal systems to alter this trajectory before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,822End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny skies and light winds over Beijing on September 11, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 27°C seasonal average. Numerical guidance clusters around 29–31°C, with peak afternoon readings influenced by clear conditions and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (44.5%) and 32°C (33%) aligns with model spreads showing modest warming potential under stable high pressure, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below reflect the limited cooling expected from northerly flows. Updated runs through early September 9 show no significant precipitation or frontal systems to alter this trajectory before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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