Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather highlight peak highs of 37–38°C for Chongqing on July 20, amid an ongoing heatwave that already produced the city's first 40°C reading on July 10. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing subsidence and solar heating across the Yangtze basin, where Chongqing's urban heat island and high humidity further elevate apparent temperatures. Model consensus remains tight but allows for modest day-to-day variability from local convection or slight steering shifts; traders weigh these against July climatology showing typical maxima near 33–35°C, with the narrow spread between 37°C and 39°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final 48-hour guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 20?
37°C 37%
38°C 34%
39°C 19%
36°C 13%
34°C or below
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
13%
37°C
37%
38°C
34%
39°C
19%
40°C
12%
41°C
9%
42°C
5%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
38°C 34%
39°C 19%
36°C 13%
34°C or below
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
13%
37°C
37%
38°C
34%
39°C
19%
40°C
12%
41°C
9%
42°C
5%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather highlight peak highs of 37–38°C for Chongqing on July 20, amid an ongoing heatwave that already produced the city's first 40°C reading on July 10. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing subsidence and solar heating across the Yangtze basin, where Chongqing's urban heat island and high humidity further elevate apparent temperatures. Model consensus remains tight but allows for modest day-to-day variability from local convection or slight steering shifts; traders weigh these against July climatology showing typical maxima near 33–35°C, with the narrow spread between 37°C and 39°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final 48-hour guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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