Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies, point to a daytime maximum near 24–25°C for Mexico City on October 13 amid partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers. This range sits close to the October climatological average high of 22–24°C at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, where daytime heating is moderated by the highland location and typical trade-wind flow. With no strong cold fronts or anomalous ridging indicated in the latest runs, the distribution of implied probabilities—centered on 25°C—reflects trader consensus on these stable late-season conditions rather than any sharp model shift or extreme event. Updated guidance on afternoon instability or cloud trends could still nudge the realized peak.