Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Miami highs near 87–88°F on October 6 under partly sunny skies with a 40–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and south winds around 5 mph. Recent days have featured similar upper-80s readings, including an 88°F peak on October 2, while the long-term average high sits at 87.5°F. Convective cloud cover and scattered showers may limit peak insolation and cap temperatures, creating the tight market split between 88–89°F and 90–91°F outcomes. Traders weigh model consensus against the risk of delayed storms allowing brief warming above 89°F, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport observations.