Recent DWD and ECMWF model runs indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 30 most likely between 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the near-even market split between 24 °C and 25 °C. Slight differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread, as reduced insolation or modest advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology places the late-September average high near 17 °C, underscoring the current warm anomaly. Traders are watching the final overnight model updates and early-morning observations for any last adjustments before resolution.