**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService-aligned sources and international models show Wellington reaching a daytime maximum of 14°C on October 8 under a persistent southerly flow, overcast skies, and light drizzle.** Multiple station reports and hourly data confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 8–10°C to afternoon peaks of 13–14°C before cooling, aligning with typical early-spring conditions for the region and ruling out significant deviations. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 14°C reflects this tight consensus across verified measurements rather than model divergence. Only an unexpected late surge from shifting winds or localized heating could alter the recorded high, though current pressure trends and cloud cover make such changes unlikely.